TRX Price Prediction: Analyzing the Path Through 2026 and Beyond

#TRX

• Bullish Technical Foundation: TRX is currently trading above its key 20-day moving average with a positive MACD crossover, indicating a potential shift in short-term momentum toward the upside.
• Mixed Macro Sentiment: Geopolitical tensions and market volatility are creating headwinds, diverting some short-term capital away from established altcoins like TRX and toward presale opportunities, capping immediate explosive growth.
• Long-Term Growth Trajectory: Price forecasts suggest a gradual appreciation potential, with significant growth tied to broader crypto adoption, TRON network utility expansion, and successful navigation of future market cycles over the coming decades.

TRX Price Prediction

Technical Analysis: TRX Shows Bullish Momentum Above Key Moving Average

As of January 23, 2026, TRX is trading at 0.30850000 USDT, firmly above its 20-day moving average of 0.303310. This positioning above a key short-term trend indicator is a positive signal. The MACD histogram reading of 0.001091 indicates a recent bullish crossover, suggesting building upward momentum, although the overall MACD remains in negative territory. The price is currently trading between the middle (0.303310) and upper (0.318776) Bollinger Bands. A sustained MOVE above the middle band often signals strength. The immediate resistance is the upper band at 0.318776, while support lies at the 20-day MA and the lower band at 0.287844.

"The technical picture for TRX is cautiously optimistic," says BTCC financial analyst John. "Trading above the 20-day MA with a positive MACD histogram suggests the recent selling pressure is abating. A decisive break above the 0.3188 resistance could open the path toward the next technical levels."

Market Sentiment: Geopolitical Headwinds and Volatility Shift Focus

Current headlines present a mixed but challenging backdrop for cryptocurrencies like TRX. The liquidity crisis facing a Russia-linked cryptocurrency due to EU sanctions highlights the ongoing regulatory and geopolitical risks that can spill over into the broader digital asset market. Concurrently, the remarkable growth of a Russian Ruble-pegged stablecoin to over $100B in transactions underscores the persistent demand for crypto-based financial solutions in strained economies, a narrative that can support the utility thesis for major blockchains.

However, the immediate pressure on TRX is reflected in the news pointing toward market volatility shifting investor interest toward presale opportunities. "The news flow reinforces a risk-off sentiment within the altcoin space," notes BTCC financial analyst John. "While long-term blockchain utility stories remain, short-term capital appears to be seeking shelter in new presales or stable assets amid volatility and external pressures, which can limit upside for established tokens like TRX in the NEAR term." This sentiment aligns with the technical analysis, which shows potential but requires a clear breakout to confirm a stronger bullish trend.

Factors Influencing TRX’s Price

Russia-Linked Cryptocurrency Faces Liquidity Crisis Amid EU Sanctions

A7A5, a cryptocurrency operating on ethereum and Tron networks, has processed over $100 billion in transactions despite international sanctions. Blockchain analytics firm Elliptic reports the token has facilitated $17.3 billion in trading volume across 250,000 transactions from 41,300 unique accounts since inception.

Daily transaction volume has plummeted from peak levels above $1.5 billion to approximately $500 million following November 2025 EU restrictions targeting Russian financial instruments. The sanctions prohibit EU-based entities from engaging with A7A5 directly or through intermediaries.

Elliptic analysts note severe liquidity constraints: "A7A5 faces existential challenges converting to other cryptoassets." While developers may seek additional exchange listings, compliance pressures make platform adoption unlikely. No new token issuance has occurred since July 2025.

Russian Ruble-Pegged Stablecoin Surpasses $100B in Transactions Less Than a Year

Russia's ruble-backed stablecoin A7A5, launched in January 2025 to circumvent Western sanctions, has processed over $100 billion in transactions in under a year. Issued on Ethereum and TRON blockchains, the token claims 1:1 backing by ruble deposits at state-owned Promsvyazbank.

Elliptic's latest report reveals nearly 250,000 on-chain transactions from 41,300 unique accounts, with adoption accelerating after PSB bank card integration in September 2025. The stablecoin's market cap now exceeds $540 million, while holder addresses grew 150% since July.

Though currently only listed on Uniswap, A7A5 has emerged as a key tool for sanctions evasion, supplementing Tether's USDT in Russian cross-border settlements. Transaction volumes first gained attention in June 2025 when exceeding $9.3 billion on crypto exchange Grinex.

Market Volatility Shifts Focus to Presale Opportunities as TRX and HYPE Face Pressure

Cryptocurrency markets are exhibiting classic risk-off behavior, with TRON (TRX) breaking below the psychologically important $0.30 level and Hyperliquid (HYPE) facing selling pressure. This capital preservation mode creates ideal conditions for structured entry points rather than chasing volatile spot prices.

Stage-based presales like APEMARS are gaining attention as traders seek price certainty amid market turbulence. The project's fourth funding round represents a timed opportunity to establish positions before potential crowd-driven momentum.

TRX Price Predictions: 2026, 2030, 2035, 2040 Forecasts

Providing precise price predictions for cryptocurrencies a decade or more into the future is inherently speculative, as the market is influenced by technology adoption, regulation, and macroeconomic factors. However, based on technical structure, market cycles, and the projected growth of the blockchain sector, we can outline potential scenarios. It is crucial to view these forecasts as a spectrum of possibilities rather than certainties.

"Forecasting requires balancing optimism with realism," states BTCC financial analyst John. "The 2026 target is technically derived, while longer-term forecasts model exponential growth based on adoption S-curves. The wide ranges for 2030-2040 account for high volatility and unpredictable black swan events, both positive and negative."